This blog has been looking at the wars currently burning in the world, as a series.
Religion 9
Dictators 8
Ethnic 7
Militias 6
Foreign Intervention 6
Secessionism 5
Crime/Drugs 5
Ideology 2
Herder/Farmer 2
Resources 2
Poverty/repression 2
WARS IN 2024
The aim here is to look at the causes of wars and conflicts going on at the present time, and to add the year the trouble started, the total number of deaths estimated, and the headline causes of the conflict.
MAJOR WARS
Major wars are defined as conflicts causing more than 10,000 deaths in the current year or previous year.
There are five major wars taking place at the moment:
Israel/Palestine, (began 1948, cumulative deaths 240K)
Russian invasion of Ukraine (began 2014, cumulative deaths 100-250K)
Mexican drug war (began 2006, Cumulative deaths 127-400K)
Sudanese civil war (began 2023, cumulative deaths 100-150K)
Maghreb Insurgency (began 2002, cumulative deaths 70K)
Myanmar conflicts (began 1948, cumulative deaths 28-189K)
The causes of any war are always multifactorial and difficult to analyse down to the last detail, but it is possible to grasp the most prominent factors in any war, and it is these factors that we are trying to capture here.
Israel Palestine
Religion
Separatism
Foreign Interference (support for Israel from the USA, to Hamas from Iran)
Ethnic
Dictators (Netanyahu and Hamas leadership)
Ukraine
Dictator (Putin)
Ideology (conflict between alignment with Russia or the EU)
Separatism
Mexican Drug War
War on Drugs
Crime
Foreign Intervention (USA)
Sudanese Civil war
Causes
Highly Complex
Background
Dictator Omar al-Bashir, head of Islamic National Congress Party.
Coup 2019 > Military rule > Transitional Sovereignty Council > Coup 2019 > >Popular Resistance > civil war
Genocide in Darfur against ethnic groups (12 tribes, tension between farmers and nomadic herders)
At present (since 2023) war between General al-Burhan and Janjaweed leader Hermedti
Summary of Causes of Sudan War
Dictatorship (Rebellion against)
Ethnic
Maghreb
Cause
Religion: Islamic State
Myanmar
Causes
Highly complex.
Ethnic
Military Dictatorship
WARS
Defined as 1,000 - 9,999 deaths in past year
Ethiopia
Since 2018
600k
Ethnic
Separatism
Syrian Civil war
2011
600k
Dictatorship
Religion - Islamic State
Foreign intervention
Armed factions (militias)
Sudanese nomadic conflicts
2008
400k
Ethnic
Resources
Yemen
2014
380k
Religious (Sunni-Shia)
Foreign Intervention (Iran-Saudi proxy)
Boko Haram
2009
373k
Religion - Islamic insurgency
Began against Nigeria, now spread to Cameroon, Chad, Niger
Somali Civil war
1991
1,000K
Dictator
Religion al-Shabab (AQ)
Iraqi Conflict
2003
1215K
Dictator
US intervention
Religion (Sunni-Shia) & ISIS
Afghan Conflict
1978
2,600k
Religion (Taliban)
Separatism
Foreign intervention
Kivu (East Uganda)
2004
104k
Multiple gangs, remains of Rwanda and Congo wars
Resources
Rio Favelas
2006
14k
Poverty, drug crime, repressive and corrupt policing, militias
Haiti gang war
2020
5.5k
Gangs, crime
Anglophone crisis Cameroon Nigeria
2017
7K
Separatist (Anglophone)
Columbian crisis
1964
455k
Left-Right (Ideology)
Right: Crime gangs, Left FARC,
North West Pakistan war
2004
61k
Religion (A-Q)
Ethnic (tribal).
Militia (Low level insurgency)
Nigeria
1998
98k
Religion
Herder-farmer
Ethnic
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