Sunday, December 06, 2009

East Anglia CRU results are reliable and reproducible

Acknowlegements to NOAA. This link also gives an important explanation for the graph.
Click on the figures to see in their entirety.

OK. The Climate Research Unit (CRU) at East Anglia University has taken a pasting recently.

In previous blogs here Phil Jones' "trick to hide the decline" has been shown to have no relevance to the scientific data, only to the appearance of a graph on the front of a report,
and Kevin Trenberth's expression of frustration ("travesty") was all about an abstruse problem with data from the outer atmosphere.

Those are the most serious verbal statements. The next challenge is the CRU computer codes, which have to do immensely complex calculations to allow for altitude and other variables on each collecting station. The CRU codes appear to be sub-prime.

The sceptics are therefore working to undermine the credibility of CRU work, which underpins the "uptick" - sharp increase in modern temperatures - seen on this most important graph here.

Given that they have undermined the credibility of CRU - until such time as an inquiry has examined the effects of the poor coding - we need independent confirmation that their results are reliable.

Three copies of the raw data on temperature records are kept, one by the National Meteorological Services, one by NOAA, and one by NASA.

The NOAA graph is shown above, with CRU for comparison.

We can see that there is no substantive difference.
Therefore, there is no reason to doubt the credibility of the most important graph - the temperature record of the planet, which is most clearly "spiking a fever" as we doctors call it.

So there we have it. Despite a burglary, a hack, and a coordingated attack, the Business As Usual lobby have failed to discredit the key point of climate science - global temperatures are rising at a rate and to a level that is unprecedented in the last 2000 years.

There is only one rational, reasonable political response - for all the world except the tiny coterie of free market fundamentalist "skeptics" to call for, agitate for, and pray for a clear, legally binding agreement in Copenhagen.


limousine hire said...

Is the climate changes a conspiracy ?????????

.....last day i read the blog on climate and they said its a international conspiracy ....but in my opinion ..its not a any type of conspiracy..

DocRichard said...

They believe in individualism, the "Me-First" philosophy. Climate change demands that we act as a community. They regard this as a threat to their world view, and this drives them to denial, hypercriticality, and conspiracy theory.

This is a historic time, a time of choice between the ecological world view and the ideology of individualism. We should not be surprised that there is a big fight going on. We have to educate the people. That is why I am on the Daily Mail debate.

Anonymous said...


"In an interview with the Guardian, James Hansen, the world's pre-eminent climate scientist, said any agreement likely to emerge from the negotiations would be so deeply flawed that it would be better to start again from scratch."

“The targets and methodology being used by governments and the United Nations - which will form the basis for their negotiations at Copenhagen - are not even wrong; they are irrelevant." -George Monbiot

"The cuts in greenhouse gas emissions being proposed at the Copenhagen climate conference, which opens today, are completely inadequate to stop dangerous climate change, one of Britain’s leading climate scientists warns."-
-Professor Kevin Anderson, Director of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research at the University of Manchester.


DocRichard said...

Hi JMac

I am so preoccupied with the rearguard action against the deniers that I am not worrying about Copenhagen. I just see it as a first step, a global movement towards decarbonisation.

There is a global paradigm shift going on, away from the free market ideal to a reality based guided market.

So no wonder it is so slow, and there is such a screeching noise from the sidelines.